The Real Gaza Death Toll is Impossible to Know Today, But the Minimum Isn’t : Shared by Maie Ayoub Comment by Fouad Kronfol
Summary
Adam Rzepka examines the widespread reliance on Gaza Ministry of Health (GMH) death toll figures, noting their credibility but also their serious undercounting. While media habitually caveat GMH numbers with the phrase “does not distinguish between civilians and combatants,” rigorous scientific studies show that actual deaths far exceed reported figures. Drawing on peer-reviewed research, Rzepka demonstrates that the real minimum toll is over 115,000 violent deaths and more than 460,000 total deaths when indirect causes such as starvation and lack of medical care are included. These figures imply that up to 20% of Gaza’s prewar population has perished, including at least 135,000 children. The article argues that repeating only the GMH baseline enables denial of genocide and undercuts honest witness to the scale of mass killing.
Quotes
“The Gaza Ministry of Health’s death toll as I write this has just passed 62,000… These are the steps, with citations, for understanding this number’s relationship to the current 115,000–460,000 range.”
“The minimum scientifically plausible number of traumatic deaths only—immediate deaths from bullets, bombs, and demolished buildings—in the Gaza genocide is currently more than 115,000.”
“The minimum scientifically plausible number of deaths attributable to the genocide overall is more than 460,000.”
“The direct death toll for children under 15 in this genocide is at least 45,221. The death toll for children under 15 including all deaths caused by the genocide is, at minimum, 135,664—and almost certainly many more.”
“We can—we must—start acknowledging the bare minimum of what this genocide has already, indisputably wrought.”
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